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Washington Post

The Editorial/Opinion Pages Pile On

by Nick on September 3, 2008

The proof that Sarah Palin was a bad pick is in the steady stream of negative commentary about her.  Over the last couple of days, The New York Times, The Washington Post, and The Los Angeles Times all dedicated large portions of their Op-Ed pages to criticism of McCain and Palin.

The Washington Post points out the problem at the heart of the Palin selection:

It’s hard to recall a time when either major party asked voters to accept a nominee with a thinner record.

The New York Times is even more blunt:

If John McCain wants voters to conclude, as he argues, that he has more independence and experience and better judgment than Barack Obama, he made a bad start by choosing Gov. Sarah Palin of Alaska.

To address those many problems, this country needs a leader with sound judgment and strong leadership skills. Choosing Ms. Palin raises serious questions about Mr. McCain’s qualifications.

A Democratic member of the Alaska House of Representatives, Mike Doogan, explains in the Washington Post why Palin is not qualified to be Vice President:

But I do know that, on all these fronts, she is a big, big risk if her ticket wins and something bad happens to John McCain. And that the risk isn’t just McCain’s. Or the Republican Party’s. It’s all of ours now.

And that tells me all I need to know about John McCain’s judgment.

Both Maureen Dowd and Thomas Friedman used their columns to point out problems with McCain’s pick.  Dowd notes that:

Since John McCain played craps first and sent the vetters to Alaska afterward, Republicans have been defending Governor Palin by saying that, while she has no foreign policy experience — except, as Cindy McCain pointed out, that “Alaska is the closest part of our continent to Russia” — she has a lot of domestic policy experience as a supercharged P.T.A. and hockey mom.

As more and more titillating details spill out about the Palins, Republicans riposte by simply arguing that things like Todd’s old D.U.I. arrest or Sarah’s messy family vengeance story will just let them relate better to average Americans — unlike the lofty Obamas.

And Friedman writes about Palin’s attachments to the oil industry:

Palin’s nomination for vice president and her desire to allow drilling in the Alaskan wilderness “reminded me of a lunch I had three and half years ago with one of the Russian trade attachés,” global trade consultant Edward Goldberg said to me. “After much wine, this gentleman told me that his country was very pleased that the Bush administration wanted to drill in the Alaskan wilderness. In his opinion, the amount of product one could actually derive from there was negligible in terms of needs. However, it signified that the Bush administration was not planning to do anything to create alternative energy, which of course would threaten the economic growth of Russia.”

So, college students, don’t let anyone tell you that on the issue of green, this election is not important. It is vitally important, and the alternatives could not be more black and white.

Garry Willis compares Palin to Thomas Eagleton, and suggests that McCain should have heeded this lesson of history:

The lesson for succeeding races was that a vice presidential candidate should be thoroughly vetted — a lesson apparently neglected by Senator John McCain.

Sam Harris explains the probability of Palin becoming President if McCain wins the election:

The actuarial tables on the Social Security Administration website suggest that there is a better than 10% chance that McCain will die during his first term in office. Needless to say, the Reaper’s scything only grows more insistent thereafter. Should President McCain survive his first term and get elected to a second, there is a 27% chance that Palin will become the first female U.S. president by 2015. If we take into account McCain’s medical history and the pressures of the presidency, the odds probably increase considerably that this bright-eyed Alaskan will become the most powerful woman in history.

Tim Rutten finds hypocrisy in how Sarah Palin has managed her personal life and her political positions:

The point is that the Palins were able to make all these decisions [regarding her daughter's pregnancy and her own decision to not abort Trig, her new baby with Down Syndrome] according to the dictates of their own consciences, formed by their own religious convictions, within the privacy of their own family and according to its values and traditions. What they decided is nobody’s business but theirs; the fact that they were free to arrive at their own decision is everybody’s business. 

The particular brand of social conservatism in which Sarah Palin quite evidently believes deeply would deny other American families and other American women the freedom to make these same intimate decisions according to the dictates of their own consciences, religious convictions and traditions.

I guess the John McCain did accomplish one thing with Palin: the focus of this election has shifted almost entirely to the McCain campaign.

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Rachel Maddow is My Hero

by Nick on August 27, 2008

People who know me know that I tend to get very pissed off about the media advancing false arguments in the name of “fairness.”  This is the common practice of the 24 hour news networks to have someone on from both sides of an issue to fight it out on air.  The problem of course is that sometimes, one side is factually correct, and the other is not, and by giving both sides air time, the media lends legitimacy to an argument that is demonstrably false.

So in today’s Washington Post article about Rachel Maddow, I was quite happy to read this:

But she is determined to avoid the left-right pairings that sustain much of cable news.  ”It creates fake balance,” she says. “I’m sorry — we’re going to have a debate about whether or not the Earth is flat? It doesn’t make sense to have a debate about whether offshore drilling is going to bring down gas prices. You know what? It’s not. The fact that it’s false ought to be reported, or you’re advancing a lie.”

I can’t wait for her show to start!

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Robert Samuelson on Energy

by Nick on August 13, 2008

Robert Samuelson writes about energy in the Washington Post today, and how neither candidate is being completely honest about it.  The issue is that both candidates are pandering to some extent, rather than telling the truth and helping the country face the cold hard fact: it’s going to be rough while we dig ourselves out of this hole.

I’ve mentioned McCain’s idiotic obsession with Offshore Drilling on more than one occasion, so I might as well take another opportunity: Offshore Drilling will not lower oil prices.  Samuelson is wrong on this point when he claims that

if we don’t increase drilling, import dependence will worsen as production from mature fields ebbs. Since 1990, U.S. oil production has dropped 23 percent, while imports have gone from 42 percent to 58 percent of consumption. Greater exploration is common sense, as more Americans recognize.

The issue is that the drilling with have such a small effect that it will not change prices.  Yes, basic logic informs us that if we drill for more oil in the U.S. we will need less from other countries.  But the tiny amount that increased drilling will provide, in addition to increasing world demand for oil, will not lower oil prices.

I do agree with one point he makes that is critical of Obama:

To lower oil prices (which were already dropping), Obama proposed releasing 10 percent of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. This is an atrocious idea. The SPR was intended as insurance against a catastrophic loss of oil from wars, embargoes, terrorism or natural disasters.

Samuelson is correct here.  Opening the Strategic Petroleum Reserve is bad policy.  It might sound great to voters and win some extra votes, but as a policy it is incredibly short sighted and foolish.  Considering the price of oil and the possibility of peak oil arriving any day, we need the Strategic Petroleum Reserve more than ever.

I realize Obama is in a tough spot here.  McCain is happily selling out the nation in order to win extra votes, and the Obama campaign feels the need to counter his pandering.  But Obama offered the truth about the Gas Tax Holiday during the primaries and won that fight.  Perhaps he should heed that lesson and continue with some truth about the rest of our energy crisis.

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Cindy Sheehan Qualifies for CA-08 Ballot to Run Against Nancy Pelosi

by Nick on August 12, 2008

cindy_sheehan_narrowweb__300x455Cindy Sheehan has qualified for the ballot in California’s 8th Congressional District.  If there is one thing I dislike more than the War in Iraq, it’s Cindy Sheehan.  Her absurd tactics are so politically inept it’s embarrassing.  Furthermore, she harmed the efforts to turn public opinion against the war: the average person is less likely to take a political position if that position is the same as someone who they see as crazy.

I’ll stop here before this becomes a ridiculously long rant.  I look forward to Nancy Pelosi crushing Sheehan this November.  Maybe after she loses she will finally go away.

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Vice Presidents

by Nick on July 29, 2008

The VP speculation continues to increase.  With less than a month until the Democratic convention (and the Republican Convention shortly after that), everyone wants to know who Obama and McCain will pick for their VP’s.

Along with Tim Kaine, The Washington Post reports that Evan Bayh (Indiana) and Joe Biden (Delaware) are on Obama’s shortlist.  Of the three I think Biden is the least likely pick.  As much as he is respected as a foreign policy mind, and an experienced Senator, I think his long (very long) Washington career somewhat clashes with Obama’s message of change and a new kind of politics.  I wouldn’t mind Biden as VP, I just don’t think it helps the ticket.

As for Evan Bayh, he’d be my pick out of the three.  He’s a likable guy, and he’s very popular in Indiana.  He’s been a Senator for a while, but he’s not well known nationally to the extent that it hurts Obama’s change message.  He also just might be able to deliver Indiana which would be a nice boost for Obama.

On the Republican side of things, there has been more and more talk about Mitt Romney.  He really does seem to be the favorite right now.  Romney is a businessman and will help McCain where he is weakest - the economy.  Further, polls indicate that Romney gives McCain a good shot of winning Michigan.  With 17 Electoral Votes, that’s a big deal for the McCain campaign.  Romney was very popular among conservatives in the primaries.

Of course he does have his drawbacks.  Many in the evangelical community are concerned about Romney because he is a Mormon.  They were already not pleased with McCain as the Republican nominee; if McCain picks Romney as VP, they could very well revolt (or at least sit this one out, which would be just as bad for McCain).  The Washington Times today says that evenangelical leaders are telling McCain not to pick Romney.

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African American Voter Registration Drives

by Nick on July 28, 2008

The Washington Post has an article about the Obama campaign’s efforts to register African Americans in order to boost his vote totals in important states.  The article focuses mainly on Georgia, where the Obama campaign believes it has a chance if it can increase the Black Vote enough.

The interesting thing, which the article briefly touches on but doesn’t discuss in great detail, is the problem of the white vote.  Statistics have shown that whites are much more likely to back a white candidate (in a two candidate race with one white and one black candidate), when the population has a higher percentage of African Americans.  Conversely, when the African American population is lower, the whites are less likely to vote for a white candidate in overwhelming numbers.

The Obama campaign is actively working to increase the number of registered African Americans, but will that be offset by a decreased percentage of the white vote?  I sure hope not, but it does seem possible given the data.

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Obama’s Bounce

by Nick on July 26, 2008

Looks like Barack Obama is getting the expected bounce from his trip.  Gallup’s Daily Tracking Poll now has the race at Obama 48% - McCain 41% and Rasmussen’s Tracking Poll has the race at Obama 46% - McCain 40% (or 49%-43% with leaners).  Despite the McCain campaign’s best effort to ridicule Obama’s trip, the results are becoming clear: Obama looked like a President, and is reaping the benefits.

Howard Kurtz discussed the media coverage of the trip yesterday in his Washington Post column, and I think he hit the nail on the head.  Though the actual coverage has been fairly mixed (Fox News has done it’s best to counter the trip, Andrea Mitchell on MSNBC has surely taken every opportunity to attack Obama over the past week) the images tell a different story.

In short, though Obamapalooza was not quite the lovefest that some expected, news outlets provided a spotlight so bright that their own people were left in the shadows.

“The pictures bring people into the story,” says Jerry Rafshoon, who was President Jimmy Carter’s media adviser. “In the television age, the more people who can see him in the role of commander in chief, the better it is for him.” By contrast, Rafshoon says, when John McCain was seen riding around Kennebunkport in a golf cart with former president George H. W. Bush, “you’re seeing him with his generation, the older generation. They looked like the past.”

A picture is worth a thousand words.

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Saturday Roundup

by Nick on July 26, 2008

Failing in Civility [The Washington Post] - The Washington Post thinks McCain should heed some of his own advice.

Romney’s Value [Robert Novak, Chicago Sun-Times] - Bob Novak points out 17 reasons why McCain should pick Romney as his VP: Michigans Electoral Votes.

Romney As Swing-Voter Bait? Hmmm… [Norm Scheiber, The New Republic] - Norm Scheiber disagrees with Bob Novak.

Getting to Know You [Bob Herbert, New York Times] - Bob Herbert says the candidate that voters need to get to know is McCain, rather than Obama.  And the real McCain is someone they might not like.

Lessons from Berlin [Jonathan Alter, Newsweek] - Jonathan Alter says history affects how the race (and Obama’s trip) are viewed.

McCain, Obama Rake in Megachecks - [Kenneth Vogel, The Politico] - Loopholes in the campaign finance rules allow both candidates to raise money far exceeding the limits of individual contributions.

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McCain to Announce VP Soon?

by Nick on July 25, 2008

According to the Washington Post, McCain will announce his VP pick soon.  The McCain campaign says he is ready to announce on very short notice, and the article indicates that they would like to announce after Obama returns from Europe (Sunday) and before the start of the Olympics on August, 8th.

Two top aides to the presumptive Republican nominee said the decision is likely to be announced after Obama returns from Europe on Sunday and before the Beijing Olympics begin Aug. 8. They said the campaign fears that unanticipated events coming out of China — whether in the form of athletic accomplishments or human rights protests — could deflect attention from the announcement if it were made during the Games.

The Post says that likely picks include:

The list of likely contenders includes former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, former U.S. budget director Rob Portman and former Pennsylvania governor Tom Ridge.

But I wouldn’t be surprised if McCain picked someone who isn’t on that list.  He likes to surprise people, and the campaign sure could use a shakeup; the VP pick might be just the thing they need to get back on track and to get some real media attention.

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Is John McCain Just Too Old?

by Nick on July 23, 2008

Posted By: Nick

 
The subject of McCain’s age has been very touchy.  McCain himself seems to enjoying joking about it in a self-deprecating way, but his campaign has reacted quickly against any perceived age attacks.  Remember that when John Kerry called McCain confused a few weeks ago, the McCain campaign responded that Kerry was trying to attack McCain’s age.

But isn’t it a fair question to ask?  After all John McCain wants to be President of the United States.  He wants to be the guy making all the decisions in the situation room.  He wants a job where he will get no real break, and not a single full night’s sleep for four (if not eight) years.  Why can’t we ask if he’s physically and mentally up to the challenge?

At the age of 72 (which McCain will be when he take office), things can happen.  While McCain’s health records suggest he’s in good shape, his own mistakes while on the campaign trail are starting to cause problems.  In the past few weeks his errors have piled up: He referred to the Czech Republic as Czechoslovakia; he mentioned the Iraq-Pakistan border; he referred to Vladimir Putin as the President of Germany; there are other examples as well.

The McCain campaign has said he’s merely making innocent mistakes; anyone who is out in public speaking as much as McCain is, is bound to slip up occasionally.  This is true, but McCain’s “slip-ups” are happening quite frequently, and perhaps more problematic for his campaign, they seem to be concentrated on the one subject he claims to be an expert about: foreign policy.  The conclusion to be drawn from these mistakes are not good for McCain: either he is not such an expert on foreign policy; or his mind just isn’t quite as sharp as it used to be.  Both are troubling prospects.

Worse, for McCain, the story is gaining steam in the media.  The Washington Post has a piece up today.  The Politico had a story about it yesterday.  Perhaps the worst case scenario for McCain is that voters really start to believe him when he says that we must be cautious who we pick to lead our nation in a time of war; if they buy into the need for a strong commander in chief, they may just decide that we can’t take a risk on John McCain.

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